By François Proust, Fikry Boutros
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Extra resources for Jeux de rôle pour les formateurs
We have seen a succession of bubbles peak, starting with the tech bubble in early 2000, followed by the housing bubble in late 2005, the financial stocks and the credit bubble in mid-2007, and the emerging market and Asian bubbles in late 2007, along with a second more minor tech bubble between late 2007 and mid-to late 2009. The final bubble will be in commodity and oil/energy stocks and that will likely peak between late 2009 and mid-2010. S. stocks started to diverge from our projections based on the recovery from previous crashes, which led to the bubble in the 1990s and in the 1920s.
We have also been expecting the stock markets to bounce substantially into around mid-2009 as a recovery is anticipated, but before inflation, interest rates, and commodities rise strongly to thwart stocks again. The recovery is likely to continue on about a 12-month lag from the stimulus from late 2008 into early 2009 into early to mid-2010. Oil and much higher mortgage rates will be the wrecking balls as stocks likely start to fall again somewhere between April and September of 2009 and accelerate down into midto late 2010.
This book is organized so that you can start with the first chapter as an overview and then go more directly to the chapters that most apply to you or that you are least familiar with if you have followed our work in the past. The most important chapters to focus on are Chapter 1 (overview), Chapter 3 (new cycles), Chapter 4 (real estate and depression cycles), and Chapter 8 (strategies for family, investment, and business). Our most astounding and long-range forecasts come in Chapter 6 as we look at trends around the world for the rest of this century!