By Keisuke Iida (auth.)
International financial Cooperation one of the usa, Japan, andGermany bargains a primary - and late - ebook- size examine of counterproductive cooperation. It takes to job the serious significance of undertaking systematic theory-guided empirical learn to ascertain the validity of arguments that overseas financial cooperation might be hugely counterproductive. This e-book combines a number of equipment - formal, quantitative, and qualitative - to review the theories of counterproductive financial cooperation through targeting the cooperative episodes one of the significant business international locations - the U.S., Japan, and Germany.
For the 1st time, this e-book offers all theories of counterproductive cooperation in a single position, topics them to systematic, empirical scrutiny within the gentle of the adventure of G-3 (U.S., Germany, and jap) cooperation because the Seventies, and indicates coverage thoughts within the gentle of the findings.
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Extra info for International Monetary Cooperation Among the United States, Japan, and Germany
Only in Japan is the proportion of deficits to GDP higher than average. This could be interpreted in two different ways: either that coordination takes effect only on Japanese policy or that fiscal policy was coordinated in all of the countries but was conducted in such a way that deficits were not significantly larger than without coordination. 2 Only the second interpretation is contrary to the Tabellini model. S. 5 - - Coordination Std, Dev, '--L--- ·2 Figure 3,8, German budget balance as percentage ofGDP in average and coordination years Source: International Financial Statistitics (IMF); Period 1973·96 43 Counterproductive Monetary Policy Coordination 4~ 3 2 I * ________________________- - , Average Coordination O +--r---r~~'---~-r--~~~ -I -2 -3 -4 -5 ~~------------------------~ Figure 3.
Stein, "Cheap Talk and the Fed: A Theory of Imprecise Policy Announcements," American Economic Review 79, I (March 1989): 32-42; Guido Tabellini, "Domestic Politics and the International Coordination of Fiscal Policies," Journal ofInternational Economics 28,3-4 (May 1990): 245-65. " Journal of International Economics 18, 3-4 (May 1985): 199-217. Matthew B. Canzoneri and Dale W. Henderson, Monetary Policy in Interdependent Economies: A Game-Theoretic Approach (Cambridge: MIT Press, 1991): 73. Guido Tabellini, "Domestic Politics and the International Coordination of Fiscal Policies," Journal of International Economics 28, 3-4 (May 1990): 245-65.
S. S. S. S. S. S. on ROW inflation ROW on ROW output ROW on ROW inflation ROW on US inflation ROW on US output Mean f! 010 0. 134 -0. 019 Source: Atish R. Ghosh and Paul R. Masson, Economic Cooperation in an Uncertain World (Oxford: Blackwell, 1994), Table 2-1 , p . 29. S. monetary policy on the rest of the world (ROW). This is certainly consistent with Frankel's theory. The only weakness of this kind of exercise is that there is no guarantee that Chapter 3 44 policymakers actually rely on these econometric models in making policy.