Econometric models of cyclical behavior;: [proceedings] by Bert G. Hickman

By Bert G. Hickman

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The CS equation, however, is estimated with CS/N as the dependent variable; for model solution, the equation is rewritten by multiplying both sides of the equation by N, so that only CS is on the left-hand side of the equation. Similarly, the equation estimated as ISE/XC is normalized as an equation in ISE, and all equations estimated with dependent variables of the form In (x) are converted to antilog form in the normalization process. A discussion of constant-term procedures and the application of random shocks to the normalized model equations will be found below.

Alterna- such cases, the ich were used in ere used for the iscussed in Secfor cornn constant dollar ollar values. 464, which is somewhat lower than in other models [cf. 6, 7, 8, and 12], reflecting, in part, the exogenous treatment of housing services. Equation 10, for the ratio of fixed investment in nonresidential structures and equipment (ISE) to capacity output, is an adaptation of research by Shirley Almon [2, 3], who estimated separately the lag between expenditures and appropriations, and that between investment determinants and appropriations.

In most cases, the normalized equation is a transformation of the estimated equation. This is most easily understood by considering some of the equations in Appendix B. Of the consumption equations, the equations for CA, COD, and CiV are used without transformation, since the left-hand side of each equation consists of a single variable. The CS equation, however, is estimated with CS/N as the dependent variable; for model solution, the equation is rewritten by multiplying both sides of the equation by N, so that only CS is on the left-hand side of the equation.

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